Submitted by Shiv Bhandari06.18.2008
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Betting closes on Dec 31 2008
Hitwise came out with its search market share numbers for May, 2008.
In the U.S., Google was up slightly to 68.3%. This is a prediction that Google will have at least 75% of the U.S. market share in any month of this year, according to Hitwise.
Current Community Consensus 46%Prediction Statistics
| Betting Closes: | Dec 31 2008 | Current Consensus: | 46.26% | Total Bets: | 26 |
| Today's Change: | 0% | ||||
| Life Time High: | 58.66% | ||||
| Life Time Low: | 42.56% |
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Over the past year it's gone from 65.13% to 68.29%. There's no chance it hits 75% this year. Gaining 1% marketshare/month just isn't going to happen EVERY month, and that's what this would take.
@Bradley, I agree with you. This would be easy money but frozen money as the ROI is so far away.
It has 70% as of July 18.
http://www.marketingcharts.com/interactive/google-approaches-70-share-of...
69.17% up from 68.29% the previous month. So gained almost an entire 1% marketshare.
6 more months exactly as successful as this past one and it would finish the year at 74.45%.
Google is up 8% YOY. It would need to go up 8+% from here in 6 months for this prediction to be judged a success.
I still don't see it happening.
@Bradley, again I agree that this is not gonna happen.
Up to 70%:
http://weblogs.hitwise.com/heather-dougherty/2008/08/googles_share_of_us...
70.77% to be exact. With 5 months to go and an average pace of 1%, this one is going to be close with December being the most likely month to break 75% and judgement date around Jan 15, 2009.
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