Jeremy Toeman has a really interesting prediction up on LIVEdigitally this morning, reasoning that there is a perfect storm of factors that will produce a huge leap in MacBook (i.e. notebook, non-desktop) market share in the next year.

To quote Jeremy:

1.) Vista is just a disaster (I can count on one hand the number of people I know personally who think it’s a step up from XP), and there’s no solution imminently on the horizon.

2.) The PC manufacturers are caught in an Innovator’s Dilemma moment where the thousands of configurable options on a PC are what their customers have asked for, yet don’t truly want.

3.) The price point of an entry level MacBook is on par with a Windows notebook.

4.) Finally, and possibly most importantly, the introduction of BootCamp and Parallels have enabled the “tentative” customers to make the leap, knowing they can run Windows for anything they miss (Outlook!)

This is a prediction that Apple laptops (we're going to be liberal here, i.e. not JUST the MacBook line and/or is successors, whatever the name, we're talking ALL Mac laptops in aggregate) will have at least 50% market share by this time next year.

As for the judging, this could be somewhat challenging. Oftentimes this type of data is released a good quarter after the time in question. Judgment will be made as soon as a metric showing Apple's sales are reported by a solid source. If a user finds this information before we do, and we accept the source, we'll award that user S$10,000 Standard Dollars for helping to close the prediction.

Related content from IDC: Worldwide and Regional Server 2007–2011 Forecast: April 2007